There is no such thing as self-fulfilling prophecies!!

Extract from Britannica:

Self-fulfilling prophecy, process through which an originally false expectation leads to its own confirmation. In a self-fulfilling prophecy an individual’s expectations about another person or entity eventually result in the other person or entity acting in ways that confirm the expectations.

A classic example of a self-fulfilling prophecy is the bank failures during the Great Depression. Even banks on strong financial footing sometimes were driven to insolvency by bank runs. Often, if a false rumor started that the bank was insolvent (incapable of covering its deposits), a panic ensued, and depositors wanted to withdraw their money all at once before the bank’s cash ran out. When the bank could not cover all the withdrawals, it actually did become insolvent. Thus, an originally false belief led to its own fulfillment.

We live in a world full of narratives, that we are asked to believe without asking questions. Most common ones are “Covid19 jabs work as expected” or “climate will be so hot by 2100, it will be a great disaster”. Those making those prophecies have no capability to justify their statement, so they have engaged in a deception process, which they can no longer escape, or at the price of their future if any. For jab, it is easy to manipulate data, hide facts about adverse reactions, … For climate, you won’t be there to verify since you will have died from the jab long before!

Those who disagree with the official prophecies are nicknamed conspiracy theorists, which is the ultimate insult to stop any debate about any topic. Now, we can look at these conspiracies theorists prophecies, right? All that they have predicted for the last 18 months is happening even faster than they would have imagined: vaccination failures, lockdowns, blaming non vaccinated, future climate lockdown, forever pandemic, …. Self-fullfilling? No! With the help of internet, these guys are very well informed, and read quite well through the plans, which makes politicians nervous and forced to accelerate in vain attempt to take back control.

Here is one of those idiot:

J. Trudeau is an imbecile! He has taken away freedoms from the people for a ridiculous virus, freedoms that they fought to get over the centuries, and now he will only give them back only if they take a poison pill!

Here is my prophecy for Trudeau and alikes, when jabbed people will wake up. There will be no mercy!

Is It Inevitable? « Mark America

Climate warmists are no better, they try to spread fear and have started almost 20 years ago a narrative prophecy, whereby climate is changing fast due to human produced CO2. There is of course no proof of relationship between CO2 level and climate behavior. At time of dinausors, CO2 level was twelve times higher, the tree were gigantic size compared to today… but anyway, since people don’t ask questions, it is a good reason for future climatic lock down, where all data will be manipulated, there will be C02 passports, and who knows, maybe even CO2 vaccines!

Here is the key: ASK QUESTIONS! DON’T GIVE UP UNTIL YOU GET A FULLY JUSTIFIED ANSWER! No adverse reactions on vaccine? Show me the proof! You want report from hospitals! CO2 impacting temperature? Show me the corresponding studies, correlations over centuries, and show me data integrity!

Coming back to finance, Janet Yellen makes a prophecy of severe upcoming financial crisis if debt ceiling is not raised: rocketing intest rates, stock market crash. It is precisely BECAUSE of this debt ceiling raise THAT interests rate will eventually go up (hyper-inflation like) and that stock market will crash. Course n°1 or 2 in economics for dummies!

So again you should wonder and ASK QUESTIONS before the corrupted governments tries to dry your accounts because you are not jabbed, you have a car that is polluting too much CO2 and you have invested in stock markets, you little stupid!

Market Review

S&P is still in strong long term uptrend (above the blue river). There is a divergence (smoothed ROC second indicator) which points to possible trend change. Short term indicator at the bottom shows its third short signal in 3 months, which we can use for covering portfolio and more should market reverse).

Bitcoin is still up as well but you can see that bottom the short signal. Since we can not short Bitcoin, I am waiting for this short signal to reverse, might be the start of next move towards 75k$. Reason being US$ value going down as debt ceiling is raised. Philosophical question: is debt a currency? :-))

SOX (semi-conductor index) is important index to follow as it has some predicitive power. Semi-conductors are needed everywhere (for AI, 5G, …) so if sector is not looking good, expect some nasty wave on technology sector! What does it do? Slower than before but up! So my prediction is market crash is delayed! You can ask me questions, I will answer! :-))

Oil is flashing a buy signal. Not good if you need to refill your car tank but having stocks like OXY and you get a refund via stock price increase and good dividends! Do not forget electric cars together with wind farms and solar panels will just not work (you will be able to recharge your battery once a month at best and at huge price). Oil price will go up, same as CO2 explained last week! Get ready for it!

That’s it for today.

I might loose my job in the future in line with ‘no jab no job’ policy in my country. I will surely have plenty of time to write by then. You can support if you wish with BCH address:

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That’s it for today. Until next time, trade safely!

1789 – 2021 French Revolution returns?

2 years ago, I would never have thought we would have one day to fight for our freedom, freedom of movement, freedom of thought, freedom to be what we want to be! But here we are now, Europe is the epicenter of a move towards a new dictature. Pandemic is used as an excuse to put in place extremely intrusive systems that spy onto your private life 24 hours a day, 365 days per year. With the bold reasoning that it may help if a new pandemic showed up! I am making in this post bold predictions about what is coming up in the next few months!

Europe is the place that has been chosen to start putting in place the new dictature. 99% of media are now muzzled, journalists are telling only what they are allowed to, social media are flocked by pro-government trolls, people are muzzled physiscally and psychologically, including children at school. This is working currently because of this rule:

Jab is the tool that is going to give you back your freedom.

Really?

Sticking strictly to data provided by government themselves (meaning seriously underestimated), about 10% of jabbed experience serious adverse conditions, including death. There is no way to know what are the long term impacts to health. The vaccine does not immune you to the Covid as shown by UK figures and tatest so-called indian variant! My guess is it won’t be long now before even the jabbed people find out they have been too naive, they have been tricked to get a poison into their body, and there will be no pity for the folks responsible for these actions!

France has had a long history of fighting for freedom. I won’t surprise if the revolution starts from Paris. Though I am against violence, it is very likely that guillotine will be brought out of garage, government, senators and member of parliaments who did not protest will be trialed hastily by popular courts. Would be sound decision for religious extremists and other ‘woke’ organisation to make plans to leave the country or face similar judgement for lacking respect to France values.

Then there will be no stopping the wave of freedom. It will immediately spread to neighboring countries, including Switzerland kicking out the infamous World Economic Forum. Wave will continue to Eastern Europe, EU will be a ruin, Wladimir Poutine will likely find a way to control this wave in Russia. China may also be have some difficulties fighting its own hundreds of millions of people crying out for freedom. North Korean system may crash as well. The Federal System in USA will also explode, the central bankers throughout the world judged for their sheer incompetency. Eventually the folks responsible for the Covid ‘virus’ will be identified, it will much shorter than a main stream media investigation, maybe they should start flying to Mars right now for their safety.

I don’t know when this will start, but could be before the end of summer…

——- end of predictions ——

Back to a more commonplace subject. Markets have been very dull. Crypto market has been and still is down, so 100% cash. The stock market is painfully keeping its up trend, so I have not changed a line in my porfolio, not adding or removing anything. Based on above predictions, of course, I advise to get gold:

Gold is out of the water, first objective has been reached. Gold could reach 2600$ in less than 2 years. Should the revolution come, Euro will most likely go to zero, so you will be happy to have gold. Also remember that inflation is there and observable in consumer prices (perceived inflation). So Gold and gold miners are a good investment (but careful about scams if selecting a gold mine!!). That is a scam too:

Semi-conductor index SOX is up, next objective is 3500. Lack of semi-conductors on the markets drives the demand, so all those semi-conductors manufacturers will benefit.

Crypto market is bullish over the long term, but still bearish in medium term. Bitcoin still defines the trend, altcoins have trouble to decorrelate.

New target is 59k, lower that previously reached so I am a bit pessimistic for long term. Once again, if revolution occurs, then € or $ may go to zero, and people will likely choose a privacy coin to to exchange with each other. There are plenty of them: Komodo, Monero, Dash, Pirate Chain, … Maybe worth having a few dollars in each of them….

That’is it! Unitl next time, trade safely!

The boring market report Feb 15th 2021

For bull traders, life is easy as I will show again in the next few graphs. Our random walk tells us tells us when to step in, then get out. Two options to get out:

  1. Partially on first price objective and then wait for the stop
  2. In case of time out (the observation period), try to exit on multiples of risks (the dotted lines)

Case in point with SOX. Price objective is recalculated each day, but the flat sections above major troughs are the ones we target. SOX is above the green belt, even making new highs. Just hold for now.

Tesla: you should start raising an eyebrow or two! See that divergence with MACD? Worth securing some profits…

Bitcoin is back up again after the January consolidation. Getting above the green belt was a good buy signal. It has already passed through the first objective (not shown) and it adheres to the second dotted line. Your stop should be bottom of the green belt for longer term, and top of belt for short term trading. Next objectives are 53700$ and 58200$. 50k$ might be a short term psychological blocking point but random walk says not to care!

Etherum is wonderful. No need to do anything.

That’s it. Until next time, trade safely!

The boring market report – November 10th 2020

In last report, I was bearish for the short term, all indicators pointing in same direction: south! Now there were the US elections, and then yesterday the possibility of the existence of an efficient vaccine. Please note that Joe Biden is not formally elected and the vaccine testing is not formally finished! But anyway, markets have decided to turn back north after 2 steps to the south. This happens from time to time, stops are there to save us from disastrous situations.

Let’s look at Semi-conductor index first. The divergence on MACD should have driven the index towards the South. However volumes (see previous post) did not increase on that scenario, so it was a dead end.

Where are we going next? I need to show the steps in the opposite direction!

The first objective has been reached already and attempt to go beyond has failed yesterday. Short term traders may short this situation but the long term is up so you may want to stay on board for now, going to 3000. 5G should push in this direction!

Same situation for other word indexes, no additional comments.

Bitcoin has reached and gone beyond initial objective, hope you are part of the trip! (See other comments on previous post)

That’s it for today. Until next time, trade safely!

The boring market report – October 28th 2020

Looks like the markets do not welcome this second coronavirus wave, not the wave itself, but rather the bad and worst decisions made by politicians! You should never panic because of sudden but announced meltdown, and again stick to our sound models!

S&P500: this will be the last time I am using these reaction lines (drawn end of March!), as the accuracy for top prediction is now failing. No big deal. Always double checking what the random walk model is telling me.

Following previous post, you see the MACD has been under its signal for a while, indicating downside pressure. First objective is 3094, due after the US elections, so another 10% to go. If might go further down, pending on lock-down conditions, as they say. The truth is that the market will go up if there are buyers, lock-down or not! If investors think all the GAFAM will be at bargain price when S&P500 reaches 3100, then market will resume up trend.

The SOX (or Semi-conductor Index) usually anticipates what’s coming up. No light to expect for now, as there is a divergence with MACD.

Speaking of Apple, the kagi graph is showing interesting things. A 3-buddhas top appeared by mid-September but because of strong uptrend, I deferred my idea of shorting Apple. Then a double window bottom has formed, a strong indication of further uptrend. Markets may be in bad mood for next few days but quarterly results may bring back confidence! Remember that the recent growth of Apple is before all due to buyback, a gift for shareholders who don’t get too much dividends otherwise. You might be bullish because of the upcoming 5G trend on smartphones, but this stock is overvalued somehow. The question is compared to what? There is no absolute reference!

Gold has reached its downward objective end of October but may still go down some more, which is very good opportunity to buy. Rationale: as countries are printing more money by tons, the value of money goes down, and Gold which is limited in quantity can only go up!

I wrote two weeks ago you should look at Bitcoin. It has gone up almost 20% already. On the way to 100k$!

That’s it! Until next time, trade carefully!